All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Harvey Circle City Conference |
Bishop Chatard Invitational |
Indiana All-Catholic Championship |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Indianapolis City Meet |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/30 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
797 |
715 |
849 |
781 |
843 |
936 |
824 |
767 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
715 |
756 |
777 |
829 |
877 |
790 |
767 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Harvey Circle City Conference |
Bishop Chatard Invitational |
Indiana All-Catholic Championship |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Indianapolis City Meet |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 182 |
Nathan Kolbus |
12 |
16:52 |
16:52 |
16:51 |
16:31 |
17:00 |
16:58 |
16:57 |
16:41 |
16:46 |
17:10 |
| 718 |
Owen Teed |
9 |
17:55 |
17:32 |
|
18:05 |
17:59 |
17:51 |
18:04 |
17:42 |
17:59 |
|
| 1,067 |
Thomas Roth |
11 |
18:20 |
17:57 |
18:09 |
18:28 |
18:36 |
19:10 |
18:15 |
18:09 |
18:17 |
|
| 1,142 |
Ethan Clapacs |
10 |
18:26 |
17:32 |
|
|
|
|
|
18:43 |
|
|
| 1,164 |
Charlie Jacoba |
10 |
18:27 |
19:12 |
18:09 |
18:09 |
18:36 |
19:15 |
18:15 |
18:19 |
18:29 |
|
| 1,505 |
Braden Thatcher |
10 |
18:52 |
19:07 |
18:32 |
18:29 |
18:25 |
19:00 |
18:59 |
19:38 |
|
|
| 1,545 |
Max Lemark |
11 |
18:54 |
19:20 |
18:58 |
18:52 |
|
18:47 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
|
Max Montgomery |
11 |
19:16 |
20:35 |
19:48 |
18:51 |
19:15 |
19:10 |
19:01 |
19:24 |
|
|
|
Kelby Atha |
12 |
20:03 |
20:11 |
19:57 |
19:38 |
|
20:30 |
20:01 |
|
|
|
|
William Shumaker |
10 |
20:11 |
20:04 |
19:55 |
20:13 |
|
|
20:21 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
6.0 |
177 |
|
|
|
|
4.0 |
90.8 |
5.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan Kolbus |
1.2% |
89.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.2% |
1.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan Kolbus |
69.9% |
52.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
69.9% |
69.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan Kolbus |
100% |
34.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Owen Teed |
100% |
73.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Thomas Roth |
82.4% |
83.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
82.4% |
82.4% |
| Ethan Clapacs |
64.8% |
84.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
64.8% |
64.8% |
| Charlie Jacoba |
63.1% |
85.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
63.1% |
63.1% |
| Braden Thatcher |
2.0% |
88.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.0% |
2.0% |
| Max Lemark |
0.7% |
89.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7% |
0.7% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nathan Kolbus |
15.0 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
3.8 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
9.2 |
10.2 |
9.5 |
13.4 |
14.0 |
9.3 |
6.9 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
| Owen Teed |
32.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
| Thomas Roth |
41.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ethan Clapacs |
43.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Charlie Jacoba |
43.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Braden Thatcher |
50.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Max Lemark |
50.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
